What Politicians Don't Know

LYLE, Dr. Annie G. and Archie Rice

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Illustrated with a 9 1/4 x 14 3/4 inch map of "Political Sentiment of the United States". San Francisco & Washington: Self-published, 1931. 16 1/2 x 27 inch poster. Folded once vertically & three times horizontally; else very good. [95371]


Contains a rather densely argued analysis of voting patterns in the U.S. between the first victory of the Republican Party in the 1860 Presidential election through the victory of Herbert Hoover in 1928. Included are several charts which trace the votes of Catholics, Jews, "Negroes," "Mexicans," etc. The authors come to a number of conclusions, including the "rough-and-ready rule" that: "For any state and community add the percentage of Catholics and Jews together and multiply that by two and you have practically the wet sentiment." The authors also state that the "Republican record of 72 years makes it appear extremely unlikely that that the 1928 [Republicans] advantage of 8.8 points above the 50-50 basis will be shifted before 1936." It would appear that, then as now, political prognostication was an inexact science. The map breaks down the U.S. county-by-county, showing which were taken by Hoover with 50-55 % or 55-80% majorities + those taken by Al Smith by similar margins.

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